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本帖最后由 ninggq 于 2016-7-17 20:03 编辑
阳光石油论坛的朋友，大家好！我叫Arthur，毕业于中国石油大学华东，现就职于雪佛龙中国能源公司，任职石油工程师，一晃毕业四年了，也有五年没有在咱们阳光石油论坛发帖了（默默潜水）。在外企四年的时间里，我深深感到了中国石油工程师在Softskill上面的一些缺乏的方面。其中很重要的一点就是，在跟老外进行非技术交流的时候，克服掉掉“敢不敢说”以后（这是必须要过的一关，也是最难的一关），以外，还有一个“说些什么”的问题。
从某些角度来说，石油新闻是非常容易引起外国同事和老板兴趣的话题：- 一般不会碰触到敏感话题
- 跟工作相关，大家有兴趣进行了解
- 展现了自己对石油方方面面的了解，打破中国员工只注重技术的死板印象
- 对个人来说，是非常好的扩大知识面，对石油行业进行整体把控的渠道
我个人对石油新闻，尤其是英文新闻的了解知之甚少，但考虑到以上这些方面，决定突破一下自己，在微信上做了一档公众号栏目，ID是PetroNewsEnglish（可搜索关注，也可扫描文章尾部二维码）。基本上每周选取一篇RigZone上的新闻进行学习，思考和音频讲解，短短几个月过去了，已经做了9期，收到了周围朋友的一些指导和支持。现在分享我的微信公众号在这里，希望能够对咱们国内的工程师，尤其是年轻工程师以及在校生能够有所帮助。
下面是我期中一期的内容，文字部分是非常有限的，音频部分才是主要内容。而且准确的说，最关键的部分，是“说”而不是“看”。
音频：
油价跟股票一样，有牛市也有熊市，不用的因素会对油价有着不同的影响，关键在于如何平衡。今天我们就通过7月15号这篇新闻来看一下各种因素对于短期现货和期货油价的影响。
Oil Settles Near $46 Amid Nigeria Force Majeure, US Fuel Glut
作者：Jessica Summers, Bloomberg
Oil closed near $46 a barrel in New York as the market weighed a force majeure (不可抗力)declared by Exxon Mobil Corp. on crude shipments out of Nigeria against(正反两方面作用下的作用结果) excess U.S. oil and product inventories. Oil closed near $46 a barrel in New York as the market weighed a force majeure (不可抗力) declared by Exxon Mobil Corp. on crude shipments out of Nigeria against (正反两方面作用下的作用结果) excess U.S. oil and product inventories.
Futures rose 0.6 percent after fluctuating between losses and gains in New York. Exxon declared force majeure on shipments of Nigeria’s biggest crude export grade(出口原油). China processed a record amount of crude in the first half of 2016 as economic growth last quarter exceeded estimates, adding support to the market. U.S. crude production, on the other hand, rose for the first time since early June last week and fuel stockpiles(储备) climbed, according to an Energy Information Administration(美国能源信息管理局) report released on Wednesday.
“We have bullish(看涨的，牛市) news. We have bearish(看跌的，熊市) news. It’s a moody market,” Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Price Futures Group(普莱斯期货集团) in Chicago, said by telephone. “The big bear case is we have this flood of product and it’s going to take some time to overwork(更多的消耗) that.”
West Texas Intermediate crude for August delivery rose 27 cents to settle at $45.95 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange(纽交所) after earlier dropping as low as to $45.05. Total volume traded was about 8 percent below the 100-day average. WTI posted a 1.2% gain for the week.
Brent for September settlement(结算价格) climbed 24 cents, or 0.5 percent, to end the session at $47.61 a barrel on the London-based ICE(洲际交易所) Futures Europe exchange and posted a 1.8 percent gain for the week. The global benchmark crude traded at a 96-cent premium(溢价) to WTI for September delivery, the widest since June 30.
Weighing Options “The market seems to be at the point where it’s weighing its options whether or not it can move higher,” Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodities research at BNP Paribas SA(法巴银行) in London, said by telephone. “There’s still a bit of uncertainty in Nigeria, but then again, the situation in Nigeria isn’t something new.”
Force majeure -- a legal clause that allows Exxon to stop shipments without breaching contracts(违反合同) -- was declared on Qua Iboe crude after “a system anomaly observed during a routine check of its loading facility,” the company said in an e-mailed statement Friday.
Qua Iboe is the third Nigerian crude grade to be declared under force majeure currently, joining a force majeure declared on Brass River in May and Forcados in February, according to information from companies compiled by Bloomberg.
China processed a record amount of crude on a daily basis in the first half of 2016 as plants boosted operations after getting import licenses. The country’s domestic oil production dropped 4.6 percent to 101.59 million metric tons in the period, the lowest for that period since 2012, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics(国家统计局) on Friday.
The world’s second-biggest economy’s gross domestic product rose 6.7 percent in the second quarter from a year earlier, compared with 6.6 percent seen by economists Bloomberg surveyed.
$40 Oil Oil has traded between about $44 and $51 a barrel since early May and has climbed from a 12-year low in February amid a string of supply disruptions(供给干扰) including attacks in Nigeria. While there’s still a consensus that the worst of the oil glut is over, the International Energy Agency cautioned this week that “the road ahead is far from smooth” amid seasonal weakness in demand and the return of some halted supply(中断的供应).
Analysts including BNP Paribas SA and JBC Energy GmbH(德国、奥地利、瑞士等国家的有限责任公司) warned prices may sink toward $40, due in part to seasonal demand weakness. Crude fundamentals are weaker than many realize, according to Julius Walker, senior consultant at JBC Energy in Vienna.“Inventories are still high, both for crude and products. Refining margins have been weak and there have been some reports of run cuts(扯乎) in the U.S. and Asia,” Michael Wittner, the New York-based head of oil-market research at Societe Generale SA(兴业银行), said by telephone. “It’s not a bullish market. It’s a market that deserves caution.
”U.S. inventories are brimming(满溢的) after two years of surplus production and demand for gasoline -- the key driver of prices in summer -- is proving to be disappointing. Stockpiles of the fuel rose by 1.21 million barrels last week and refiners reduced operating rates by 0.2 percentage points to 92.3 percent of capacity, according to the EIA report.
新闻本身转载于网络媒体，其所有权归原作者所有，本公众号仅仅进行非主观评论的石油类语言和术语的解释和学习，谢绝转载，特此声明。建议在wifi环境下开启音频，土豪请随意。
LinkedIn：https://cn.linkedin.com/in/ningguoqing
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